Another NATO article 4 by...?

Another NATO article 4 by...?

3 options

Highlights

Volume
$7.4K
24h Volume
$7.4K
Liquidity
$18.0K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked. For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO; authoritative statements from the requesting member government may also be used.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?28.0¢41h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?28.0¢41h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?24.0¢201h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?24.0¢201h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢32h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢22h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢12h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢192h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢192h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?25.0¢403h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?75.0¢193h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?25.0¢213h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?74.0¢153h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?26.0¢153h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?75.0¢104h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?25.0¢104h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?27.8¢564h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?27.0¢114h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?72.0¢454h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?70.0¢194h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?70.0¢194h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?85.0¢15h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?15.0¢15h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?64.0¢1635h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?38.0¢205h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?63.0¢105h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?64.0¢195h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?36.0¢205h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?64.0¢505h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?65.0¢455h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?77.0¢206h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?23.0¢206h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?80.0¢56h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?80.0¢56h ago
BuyYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?15.0¢206h ago
BuyNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?85.0¢206h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?76.0¢96h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?24.0¢96h ago
SellNoAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?76.0¢86h ago
SellYesAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?24.0¢86h ago