Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

9 options

Highlights

Volume
$121.9K
24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$22.8K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Recent trades — ↑ 1500

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.9¢1,725167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢200167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢1,000167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢500167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢25167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢340167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢50167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢160167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢130167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢350167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢100167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.9¢50167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.9¢200167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.9¢3,660167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.1¢3,660167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.0¢381167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.0¢316167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.0¢50167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢15167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢1167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢1167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.2¢1,693167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?99.8¢1,632167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?0.3¢62167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.6¢1167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.4¢1167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.9¢393167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.9¢343167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.1¢50167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.9¢1,238167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.1¢1,188167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.2¢50167d ago
BuyNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.7¢1167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.7¢1167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.3¢1167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.7¢1167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.3¢31167d ago
SellNoWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?1.7¢9167d ago
BuyYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.3¢21167d ago
SellYesWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?98.3¢4167d ago