Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?

11 options

Highlights

Volume
$37.6K
24h Volume
$22.0K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Ends
Jul 27, 2026

Price history

Distribution model

MarketEnsemble

Gap Market overvalued at 100-101°F 65¢ vs 33¢ model fair

BracketMarketModel fairEdge
95°F or below0
96-97°F2
98-99°F18¢19¢2
100-101°F65¢33¢31
102-103°F18¢21¢3
104-105°F11¢8
106-107°F8
108-109°F4

How to read this

  • Market is the live price of each bracket on Polymarket, read as the crowd's implied probability that the outcome lands in that band. Bars deepen the further they sit from the model.
  • Ensemble runs several weather models many times over with slightly different starting conditions. Each run (“member”) predicts a value; the shaded step is the (smoothed, model-weighted) share of members landing in each bracket — its height is the model’s fair price. A tight peak means the models agree; a wide spread means real uncertainty. The station has already reported 93.0°F today, so brackets entirely below that are ruled out (0%).

About

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Recent trades — 100-101°F

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?63.0¢1118m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?37.0¢1118m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?60.0¢3945m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?40.0¢3945m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?61.0¢349m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?39.0¢349m ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?58.0¢349m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?58.0¢349m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?63.0¢253m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?37.0¢253m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?42.0¢253m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?58.0¢253m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?38.0¢1256m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?62.0¢1256m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?38.0¢356m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?62.0¢356m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?40.0¢51h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?60.0¢51h ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?58.4¢151h ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?42.0¢101h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?59.0¢61h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?64.5¢221h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?35.0¢61h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?35.0¢51h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?36.0¢111h ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?60.6¢131h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?60.0¢51h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?61.0¢81h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?41.0¢21h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?59.0¢21h ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?37.0¢21h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?37.0¢21h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?40.0¢32h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?60.0¢32h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?41.0¢22h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?59.0¢22h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?61.6¢212h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?38.0¢82h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?38.0¢52h ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?61.0¢82h ago