Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 27?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 27?

11 options

Highlights

Volume
$22.3K
24h Volume
$18.8K
Liquidity
$28.0K
Ends
Jul 27, 2026

Price history

Distribution model

MarketEnsemble

Gap Market overvalued at 78-79°F 52¢ vs model fair

BracketMarketModel fairEdge
72-73°F0
74-75°F0
76-77°F3
78-79°F52¢45
80-81°F41¢13¢27
82-83°F20¢15
84-85°F17¢16
86-87°F7
88-89°F6
90°F or higher27¢27

How to read this

  • Market is the live price of each bracket on Polymarket, read as the crowd's implied probability that the outcome lands in that band. Bars deepen the further they sit from the model.
  • Ensemble runs several weather models many times over with slightly different starting conditions. Each run (“member”) predicts a value; the shaded step is the (smoothed, model-weighted) share of members landing in each bracket — its height is the model’s fair price. A tight peak means the models agree; a wide spread means real uncertainty. The station has already reported 71.1°F today, so brackets entirely below that are ruled out (0%).

About

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Recent trades — 78-79°F

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢21m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢21m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢61m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢61m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?53.0¢23m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢23m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢206m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢206m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢206m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢206m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢2011m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢2011m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?53.0¢224m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢224m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?53.0¢2528m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢1928m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢628m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?53.0¢230m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢230m ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?53.0¢730m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?47.0¢730m ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢1059m ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢1059m ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢01h ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢01h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢211h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢01h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢211h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢201h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢201h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢201h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢201h ago
SellYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢211h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢211h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢851h ago
BuyYesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?52.0¢11h ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢841h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢101h ago
SellNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢101h ago
BuyNoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?48.0¢51h ago