Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2 options

Highlights

Volume
$19.1K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$48.0K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades — August 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢5616h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢5616h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.1¢116h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.1¢116h ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.9¢76416h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.7¢34816h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢5616h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢9916h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.8¢3916h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2.9¢7116h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?97.0¢5116h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.3¢5016h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.4¢4016h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.1¢1016h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢521h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢521h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.5¢48122h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.6¢33622h ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.5¢5422h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.7¢5122h ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.8¢4022h ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.7¢1051d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.7¢321d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.6¢431d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?95.4¢301d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢7641d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.4¢3561d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢3241d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢291d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.5¢551d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.0¢331d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?6.1¢31d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.0¢301d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.6¢181d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.6¢121d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.5¢61d ago
BuyNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢1001d ago
SellNoHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?96.7¢1001d ago
SellYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4.2¢6282d ago
BuyYesHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?3.3¢922d ago