How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?

How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?

6 options

Highlights

Volume
$9.0K
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$62.3K
Ends
Aug 4, 2026

Price history

About

The American Israel Public Affairs Committee is a major, bipartisan American lobbying group that advocates for a strong U.S.-Israel relationship and has endorsed candidates in the upcoming US Congressional primaries. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who do not win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won a primary if they finish in a position to advance to the general election, even if they are not the top vote-earner or if no primary election is held because the candidate ran unopposed. This market will only consider the 34 candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Greg Stanton (Democratic, AZ-04), Abe Hamadeh (Republican, AZ-08), Juan Ciscomani (Republican, AZ-06), Ron Estes (Republican, KS-04), Tracey Mann (Republican, KS-01), Roger Marshall (Republican, KS-Sen), Derek Schmidt (Republican, KS-02), Tom Barrett (Republican, MI-07), Jack Bergman (Republican, MI-01), Bill Huizenga (Republican, MI-04), Lisa McClain (Republican, MI-09), John Moolenaar (Republican, MI-02), Hillary Scholten (Democratic, MI-03), Haley Stevens (Democratic, MI-Sen), Shri Thanedar (Democratic, MI-13), Tim Walberg (Republican, MI-05), Mark Alford (Republican, MO-04), Wesley Bell (Democratic, MO-01), Eric Burlison (Republican, MO-07), Sam Graves (Republican, MO-06), Robert Onder (Republican, MO-03), Jason Smith (Republican, MO-08), Ann Wagner (Republican, MO-02), Ben Cline (Republican, VA-06), Morgan Griffith (Republican, VA-09), Jen Kiggans (Republican, VA-02), John McGuire (Republican, VA-05), Rob Wittman (Republican, VA-01), Michael Baumgartner (Republican, WA-05), Suzan DelBene (Democratic, WA-01), Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democratic, WA-03), Kim Schrier (Democratic, WA-08), Adam Smith (Democratic, WA-09), Marilyn Strickland (Democratic, WA-10). The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying federal elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades — 2–3

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?25.0¢52d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?75.0¢52d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?72.0¢4052d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?28.0¢312d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?28.0¢3732d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?70.0¢273d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?70.0¢273d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?69.0¢13d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?69.0¢13d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?36.0¢18d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?36.0¢18d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?54.0¢3010d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?54.0¢3010d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?54.0¢3010d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?54.0¢3010d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢1611d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢1611d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢5611d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢5611d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢5611d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?42.0¢5611d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?46.0¢411d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?54.0¢411d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢411d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?49.0¢411d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢511d ago
BuyNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?49.0¢511d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢512d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢512d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?50.0¢1416d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?50.0¢1416d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?49.0¢416d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢416d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢5921d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢5921d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢421d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢421d ago
SellNoWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?49.0¢222d ago
SellYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢222d ago
BuyYesWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?51.0¢622d ago