Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

16 options

Highlights

Volume
$9.5M
24h Volume
$1.0M
Liquidity
$909.6K
Ends
Aug 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.

Recent trades — July 18

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢11,0105d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢11,0005d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢105d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢55d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢55d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢256d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢256d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢556d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢556d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢16d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢16d ago
SellNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢1,9676d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢4786d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢2896d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢1,2006d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢286d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢286d ago
SellNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢8106d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢8106d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢206d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢206d ago
SellNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢1006d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢1006d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢76d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢76d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢1836d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.2¢106d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.8¢1736d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢326d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢326d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.3¢3336d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢3336d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢56d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢56d ago
SellYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢176d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.7¢176d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢176d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢176d ago
BuyYesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?99.9¢156d ago
BuyNoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?0.1¢156d ago