Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

3 options

Highlights

Volume
$2.8K
24h Volume
Liquidity
$4.4K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?92.0¢5013d ago
BuyNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?8.0¢3813d ago
BuyNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?8.0¢1313d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢7817d ago
BuyNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢7817d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢10017d ago
BuyNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢1117d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2017d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢3117d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢3317d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢617d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?86.0¢1222d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?86.0¢1222d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢10523d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢10523d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2023d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2023d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢2024d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢2024d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢2024d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢34424d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢12424d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2024d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢20024d ago
BuyNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢2324d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢2024d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢324d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢8325d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢1725d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢4025d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢2625d ago
SellYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢59725d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?87.0¢52925d ago
SellNoWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?13.0¢3925d ago
BuyYesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?88.0¢2025d ago