What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

15 options

Highlights

Volume
$6.7M
24h Volume
$738
Liquidity
$289.5K
Ends
Dec 9, 2026

Price history

About

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Recent trades — 4.0%

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?30.1¢33h ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?30.1¢33h ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.6¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?30.0¢51d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?70.0¢51d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?70.0¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?30.0¢51d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢61d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢61d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.5¢601d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.5¢521d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢81d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢61d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢61d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢51d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢51d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢51d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?72.4¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?29.7¢301d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?70.3¢301d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?28.1¢1101d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?29.7¢51d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?70.4¢101d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?70.4¢301d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.3¢101d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.2¢101d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.1¢311d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?27.0¢141d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?74.9¢22d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.1¢22d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?74.9¢122d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.1¢122d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.1¢33d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.1¢33d ago
BuyNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?74.9¢104d ago
BuyYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.1¢104d ago
SellNoWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?74.5¢304d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.6¢04d ago
SellYesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?25.5¢304d ago