Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

8 options

Highlights

Volume
$604.1K
24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$91.5K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — Dopropillia

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.3¢11h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?30.0¢01h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢11h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢591h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢591h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?70.0¢71h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?30.0¢71h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢01h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢01h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?30.0¢451h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?30.0¢351h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?70.0¢101h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢2201h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?31.0¢451h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢1001h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢761h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢141h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢141h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢4512h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢4512h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢15013h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢2713h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢9013h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?32.0¢3313h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢10018h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢10018h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢3018h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?31.0¢3018h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.9¢15018h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢8418h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?69.0¢5018h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?68.0¢1618h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?65.0¢2701d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?65.0¢1811d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?65.0¢891d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?34.0¢31d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?34.0¢31d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?34.0¢2001d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?34.0¢31d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?66.0¢1811d ago