Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?

2 options

Highlights

Volume
$31.9K
24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$18.3K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Chasiv Yar will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/XPJfnzoeRtB7UEmDA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?35.0¢51h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?35.0¢51h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?31.0¢1002h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?69.0¢1002h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?64.6¢6432h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?66.0¢1002h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?35.0¢602h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?35.0¢602h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?35.0¢542h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?65.0¢162h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢502h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢1032h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢2002h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?61.0¢012h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?61.0¢012h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢413h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢413h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?39.0¢2913h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?39.0¢2913h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.4¢4013h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?36.0¢813h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?64.0¢1713h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?37.0¢1513h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?37.6¢5014h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?37.0¢1814h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?62.0¢3214h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?38.0¢1714h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?62.0¢1714h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?60.0¢2314h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?40.0¢2314h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?40.0¢4014h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?40.0¢4014h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?38.0¢3014h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?62.0¢3014h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?39.0¢3014h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?39.0¢3014h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?38.7¢3014h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?62.0¢1014h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?61.0¢2014h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?39.0¢1014h ago