Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

8 options

Highlights

Volume
$287.6K
24h Volume
$10.0K
Liquidity
$33.1K
Ends
May 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?76.0¢549m ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?76.0¢549m ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?75.0¢4049m ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?25.0¢4049m ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?21.0¢17h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?79.0¢17h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?76.0¢07h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?76.0¢07h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?79.2¢597h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?79.0¢507h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?20.0¢97h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?19.0¢157h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?81.0¢157h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?27.0¢147h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?73.0¢57h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?73.0¢57h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?73.0¢47h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?72.0¢247h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?28.0¢197h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?72.0¢57h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?73.0¢17h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?73.0¢17h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?72.0¢417h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?28.0¢417h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?69.5¢4977h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?30.0¢2427h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?31.0¢1167h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?31.0¢527h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?69.0¢887h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?65.0¢4615h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?35.0¢4615h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?67.0¢9615h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?67.0¢4615h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?67.0¢5015h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?67.0¢12123h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?35.0¢6123h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?31.0¢6023h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?72.7¢24323h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?70.0¢2223h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?71.0¢523h ago