Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

2 options

Highlights

Volume
$55.5K
24h Volume
$344
Liquidity
$15.4K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station (49.712076° N, 37.606819° E) located on Pryvokzalna vulytsia, in Kupiansk, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk+train+station.jpeg Kupiansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/9Pt8PPbQvWLerHLr6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?29.0¢153d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?71.0¢53d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?71.0¢103d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?29.0¢903d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?71.0¢903d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?70.0¢1943d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?30.0¢1043d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?30.0¢903d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?69.0¢16d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?31.0¢16d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?69.0¢16d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?31.0¢16d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢26d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢26d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?32.0¢37d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢37d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?33.0¢1477d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?33.0¢1477d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢58d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢58d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?31.0¢58d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?31.0¢58d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?71.0¢2009d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?71.0¢2009d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?70.0¢1189d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?30.0¢579d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?70.0¢619d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?69.4¢28811d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?30.0¢2111d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?70.0¢10011d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?30.0¢5011d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?31.0¢4611d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?69.0¢1611d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?69.0¢1111d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?32.0¢4511d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢511d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?32.0¢511d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?67.0¢1211d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?33.0¢1211d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?68.0¢411d ago