Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

3 options

Highlights

Volume
$275.8K
24h Volume
$206
Liquidity
$5.3K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.540813° N, 35.885706° E in Mala Tokmachka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Mala+Tokmachka1.png Intersection Location in Mala Tokmachka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Mala+Tokmachka2.png Mala Tokmachka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Mala+Tokmachka3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qFjruKqP6iK2M6NM8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?24.7¢404d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?25.0¢284d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?76.0¢124d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?76.0¢24d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?76.0¢24d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?24.0¢18d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?24.0¢18d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?28.0¢199d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?28.0¢199d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?27.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?27.0¢309d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?29.0¢49d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?71.0¢49d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?29.0¢49d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?71.0¢49d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.1¢2669d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢319d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢1089d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?26.0¢969d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?27.0¢309d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?32.7¢5013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?32.0¢1413d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?33.0¢3613d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?32.0¢5013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?32.0¢5013d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?34.0¢5013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?34.0¢5013d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?68.0¢213d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?32.0¢213d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?64.7¢30013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?35.0¢5013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?35.0¢5013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?35.0¢10013d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?36.0¢10013d ago