Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

2 options

Highlights

Volume
$71.1K
24h Volume
$1.0K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) located in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka1.png Location in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka2.png Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka3.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZH4QxaEkdvhuK7xN9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — December 31

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?23.0¢1001h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?77.0¢1001h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?77.0¢501h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?77.0¢501h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?77.0¢501h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?77.0¢501h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?22.0¢6571h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢501h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢501h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢5001h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?22.0¢571h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?22.0¢5010h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢5010h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢301d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?78.0¢301d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢401d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢401d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢201d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢201d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢601d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢201d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢401d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢301d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?80.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?19.0¢4581d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?81.0¢601d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?81.0¢301d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?81.0¢3681d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?19.0¢1322d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?81.0¢1322d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?17.0¢293d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?83.0¢293d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?17.0¢103d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?83.0¢103d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?17.0¢503d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?83.0¢503d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?17.0¢183d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?83.0¢183d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?16.9¢2,0004d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?83.0¢1,8734d ago