Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

2 options

Highlights

Volume
$94.9K
24h Volume
Liquidity
$1.4K
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — September 30

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?21.0¢52d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?21.0¢52d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?79.0¢75d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?21.0¢75d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢506d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢206d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢306d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢506d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢256d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢256d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢306d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢306d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢206d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢206d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢256d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢256d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢256d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢256d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?79.0¢27d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?21.0¢27d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢507d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢207d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢307d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢507d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢257d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢257d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢507d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢307d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢207d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢207d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢207d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢307d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢307d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢257d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢257d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢257d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢257d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢307d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?18.0¢307d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?82.0¢207d ago