Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

4 options

Highlights

Volume
$48.2K
24h Volume
Liquidity
$3.2K
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades — September 30

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.9¢73d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?86.1¢73d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?8.8¢503d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?7.0¢153d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?9.0¢53d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?9.0¢53d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?9.8¢83d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?90.1¢173d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.9¢78d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?86.1¢78d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.4¢109d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?86.6¢109d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.0¢89d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.0¢89d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.0¢309d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?13.0¢309d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?8.0¢339d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?8.0¢339d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?6.0¢429d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?6.0¢329d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?94.1¢59d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?94.1¢59d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?5.9¢259d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?5.9¢259d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?2.8¢1029d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?2.0¢179d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?3.0¢339d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?3.0¢209d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?3.0¢329d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?6.8¢409d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?5.0¢259d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?9.0¢59d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?9.0¢59d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?89.0¢59d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?12.0¢509d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?88.0¢109d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?88.0¢159d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?88.0¢259d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?88.0¢109d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?12.0¢109d ago