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Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Outcomes

Yes21.5%
No78.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
ScienceWeatherclimatenasa

Highlights

Volume
$228.0K
24h Volume
$3
Liquidity
$673
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

21.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?80.0¢147m ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?20.0¢147m ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?80.0¢114h ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?20.0¢114h ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?80.0¢120h ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?20.0¢120h ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.7¢7951d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢501d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢501d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢4881d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.0¢1681d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.0¢201d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?26.0¢201d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?70.0¢602d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?30.0¢602d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.0¢602d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢602d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢192d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢192d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?27.0¢192d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?27.0¢192d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?70.0¢62d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?30.0¢62d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?72.0¢62d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?72.0¢62d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?72.0¢62d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?72.0¢62d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.4¢1713d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?30.0¢133d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.0¢203d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?25.0¢103d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢1113d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢173d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?76.0¢103d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢103d ago
SellYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢154d ago
BuyYesNatural Disaster in 2026?24.0¢154d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢134d ago
BuyNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢134d ago
SellNoNatural Disaster in 2026?75.0¢34d ago

Holders

Yes-$970 total · -$97 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Frightening-Undertaker-$1111,345Dishonest-Reality-$1211,100Wobbly-Smoking-$941,100Upbeat-Metallurgist-Canal-$851,000Misty-Worship-$233928Handmade-Gathering-$22900Discrete-Flung-$12710Pale-Whelp-$175702Unsightly-Young-$58556Sociable-Quartet-$57539
No+$2.5K total · +$246 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Crooked-Hut+$8518,775Political-Baobab+$1381,800Tart-Descent+$3781,603Rotten-Watch-Short+$331,120Glorious-Memory+$2501,000Worthy-Dough+$227926Capital-Sugar+$202704Affectionate-Ownership+$170700Weird-Freedom+$141500Trim-Human+$73369
PriceSizeTotal
23.0¢225
24.0¢30473
25.0¢10025
30.0¢7823
37.0¢249
48.0¢157
62.0¢8251
66.0¢2215
96.0¢1616
97.0¢318309
98.0¢2,6002,548
99.0¢6,0155,955
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢1,25613
2.0¢47510
3.0¢2,08463
4.0¢37415
5.0¢131
6.0¢553
7.0¢101
8.0¢60
10.0¢101
13.0¢111
16.0¢51
19.0¢16030