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Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Outcomes

Yes76.5%
No23.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsGeopoliticsParlaysWorld

Highlights

Volume
$694.3K
24h Volume
$891
Liquidity
$21.9K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

76.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢1002h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202675.0¢362h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢142h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢502h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢22h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢22h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202677.0¢22h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢22h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢602h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢502h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢102h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢1963h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢963h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢1003h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202677.3¢2596h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202622.0¢786h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢606h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢506h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢506h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢216h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.4¢5013h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢2813h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢2213h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢4018h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢4018h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢4018h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202625.0¢4018h ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢1118h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢1118h ago
SellYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢1119h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢1119h ago
SellYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢12119h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢2319h ago
BuyYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢5019h ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢4719h ago
SellYesNothing Ever Happens: 202676.0¢31d ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢31d ago
SellNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.2¢9341d ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202623.0¢1731d ago
BuyNoNothing Ever Happens: 202624.0¢961d ago

Holders

Yes+$12.8K total · +$1.3K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Illustrious-Spectacles+$3.4K31,564Blaring-Surge+$2.6K21,568Angry-Evaluation+$1.4K7,8460xdbad…9c95+$1.8K6,492Loving-Cleric+$1.1K5,000Light-Hygienic+$1864,000Scratchy-Loading+$5563,973Content-Competence+$1.2K3,427Extra-Large-Begonia+$2452,546Recent-Icebreaker+$1702,100
No-$13.8K total · -$1.4K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Threadbare-Signal-$3.5K38,7190xe015…6ffd-$4.9K13,000Whopping-Chiffonier-$1.4K9,546Kooky-Employ-$1.1K7,614Lumbering-Nicety+$2455,240Straight-Side-$1.5K4,425Snoopy-Sediment-$6852,637Violet-Penicillin-$2552,269Welcome-Bite-$5091,684Wretched-Outrigger-$521,504
PriceSizeTotal
82.0¢600492
84.0¢9479
85.0¢2,0201,717
90.0¢1,100990
92.0¢3,7603,459
93.0¢21,38619,889
94.0¢9,3338,773
95.0¢1,018967
96.0¢21,53020,669
97.0¢52,33150,761
98.0¢7,6177,465
99.0¢520,930515,721
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢23,000230
3.0¢7,333220
5.0¢7,500375
7.0¢2,857200
10.0¢5,240524
11.0¢1,273140
12.0¢2,857343
13.0¢1,000130
14.0¢20028
15.0¢733110
17.0¢994169
19.0¢526100