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US strike on Cuba by December 31?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes31.5%
No68.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
VenezuelaGeopoliticsCuba

Highlights

Volume
$4.9M
24h Volume
$9.0K
Liquidity
$70.4K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

31.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢1001h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢1001h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢1592h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢1592h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢3132h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢62h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢1002h ago
BuyNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?68.0¢1262h ago
BuyNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?68.0¢802h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢1,0003h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢1,0003h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢54h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢54h ago
BuyNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢1514h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢1514h ago
BuyNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢17h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢17h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢2577h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢2577h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢10011h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢3611h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢6411h ago
SellYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?31.0¢15611h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?69.0¢15611h ago
BuyNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?68.0¢1,68711h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢1011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢10011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢40011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢511h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢1511h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢3511h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢15611h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢20011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢10011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢10011h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢44411h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢511h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?68.0¢11111h ago
BuyYesUS strike on Cuba by December 31?32.0¢511h ago
SellNoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?67.0¢612h ago

Holders

Yes-$12.5K total · -$1.4K avg · 9/10
Trader · P&LShares
Threadbare-Signal-$1.6K69,691Real-Teaching+$2.9K44,659Gentle-Prompt-$1.5K18,8920x71e1…45f0-$3.8K18,000Cuddly-Fulfillment-$2.5K13,392Sociable-Rooster-$1.1K12,406Tan-Server-$3.0K12,087Complete-Referendum-$2.1K11,307Rotten-Dancer+$26310,751Grand-Calm—10,439
No+$14.6K total · +$1.5K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Odd-Okra+$1.9K68,721Quizzical-Hire+$3.4K27,355Tense-Precedent+$96716,468Determined-Percentage+$3.4K16,381Alive-Crook+$79115,987Mushy-Asymmetry+$2.5K15,912Annual-Bathrobe+$75915,367Opulent-Right+$13911,925Dental-Liquid-$31311,827Swift-Iris+$99811,340
PriceSizeTotal
88.0¢10088
89.0¢350312
90.0¢13,24011,916
91.0¢10091
92.0¢21,86220,113
93.0¢14,38613,379
94.0¢10094
95.0¢550523
96.0¢11,97811,499
97.0¢29,43328,550
98.0¢4,8964,798
99.0¢28,38428,100
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢208,5142,085
2.0¢149,6352,993
3.0¢97,2202,917
4.0¢31,1451,246
5.0¢39,5301,977
6.0¢10,443627
7.0¢22,6791,587
8.0¢5,594447
9.0¢14,7221,325
10.0¢20,3512,035
11.0¢12,0191,322
12.0¢9,0931,091