BrierBrier
HotInsightsWatchlistNotes
Lists
Modeled
Closing soon
This week
Near-certain
Your lists
Trending
SportsGamesSoccerEsportsTennisMLBbaseballleague of legendscounter strike 2ValorantMLSFIFA World CupDota 2CryptoCrypto PricesBrazil Serie ALiga MXCricketPoliticsWeeklyUFCK-leagueBitcoinNorway EliteserienWNBAUCLUELChinese Super LeagueGeopoliticsSweden Allsvenskan
Unlock gated features

Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Outcomes

Yes4.5%
No95.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsIranTrumpMiddle East

Highlights

Volume
$618.8K
24h Volume
$171
Liquidity
$34.7K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

4.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.8¢503h ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.8¢503h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢107h ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢107h ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.1¢589h ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?5.0¢509h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.8¢89h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1810h ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1810h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1811h ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1811h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1814h ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢1814h ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢11d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢11d ago
BuyYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.8¢161d ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.8¢161d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢101d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢101d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.8¢1501d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.8¢1501d ago
BuyYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.9¢372d ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.9¢372d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.0¢172d ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?5.0¢172d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.4¢62d ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.6¢62d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.0¢1483d ago
SellYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?5.0¢1413d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.0¢63d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.8¢03d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢103d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢103d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢5003d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢5003d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢5003d ago
SellNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.9¢5003d ago
BuyYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.2¢203d ago
BuyNoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?95.8¢203d ago
BuyYesUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.2¢483d ago

Holders

Yes-$15.0K total · -$1.5K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Posh-Chem-$4.2K24,645Idolized-Pigeon-$1.6K11,544New-Anarchy-$3.2K11,000Excellent-Traveler-$1.8K10,534Afraid-Child-$1.1K6,704Bulky-Item-$1.0K6,425Pertinent-Constellation-$8154,160Our-Dough-$3993,644Shimmering-Proponent-$3593,189Unfolded-Trove-$4692,935
No+$15.5K total · +$1.6K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Bleak-Full+$3.6K24,682Wooden-Prescription+$5.5K18,971Homely-Amenity+$9536,000Extra-Large-Begonia+$8735,889Illustrious-Spectacles+$1.2K5,092Near-Familiar+$1.2K4,952Lean-Attraction+$5814,535Submissive-Communist+$5414,000Natural-Vacation+$5103,817Disguised-Spider+$5953,622
PriceSizeTotal
92.0¢2,3482,160
95.0¢18,72017,784
96.0¢8,1927,864
97.9¢88
98.0¢46,38445,456
99.0¢117,536116,361
99.4¢1111
99.5¢30,00029,850
99.6¢18,75018,675
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.8¢1414
99.9¢2,1252,123
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢89,31489
0.2¢6,70813
0.3¢5,01315
0.4¢10,02340
0.5¢170
0.6¢5,00030
0.7¢7,14850
0.8¢5,01140
0.9¢5,00045
1.0¢40,739407
1.1¢1,81820
1.2¢1,67420