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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Outcomes

Yes2.8%
No97.2%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsTrumpGeopoliticsDenmark

Highlights

Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
$93.0K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

2.8¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?2.9¢529m ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.1¢529m ago
BuyYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.1¢336h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢26h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢216h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢56h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢56h ago
SellYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?2.9¢3,6516h ago
BuyYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?2.7¢2516h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.1¢3,3236h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢216h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢246h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢336h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢579h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢219h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢219h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢109h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢59h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢2,18011h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢1011h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢17011h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢1,00011h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?97.0¢1,00011h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢4,59711h ago
BuyYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.1¢16111h ago
BuyYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.1¢16211h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.9¢4,17311h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢4211h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢5911h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.7¢511h ago
SellYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.3¢511h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢511h ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢511h ago
BuyNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢31d ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢31d ago
SellYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.2¢92d ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢92d ago
SellYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.2¢953d ago
BuyYesWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?3.2¢443d ago
SellNoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.8¢513d ago

Holders

Yes-$5.7K total · -$570 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Dependable-Propane-$1.8K23,350Neat-Meatball-$1.5K16,520Sociable-Rooster-$65712,207Jumbo-Dividend-$68210,815Busy-Prince-$3585,767Oval-Photo-$2484,7090x47eb…c8de-$2793,870Forsaken-Meridian+$1083,865Narrow-Description-$2152,857Pristine-Business-$462,818
No+$6.3K total · +$629 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Positive-Steam+$1.9K28,910Compassionate-Kneejerk+$1.5K21,338Unfortunate-Pray+$90020,554Slippery-Filly+$62010,0000x8931…a90c+$337,5880x919d…60e1+$3095,216Imperturbable-Variation+$3605,000Serene-Decision+$2105,000Compassionate-Lawsuit+$3105,000Normal-Motivation+$793,605
PriceSizeTotal
90.0¢22,10619,896
92.0¢512471
94.9¢715679
95.0¢29,32027,854
96.0¢2,0481,966
97.9¢2,8802,820
98.0¢41,94241,103
98.9¢4,6334,582
99.0¢82,76881,940
99.5¢30,00029,850
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.9¢2,0001,998
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢111,947112
0.2¢20,02640
0.3¢24,56274
0.4¢4,58218
0.5¢1,0005
0.6¢5,16731
0.7¢1,42910
0.8¢1,25010
0.9¢3,88935
1.0¢1,21512
1.1¢1,36415
1.2¢2,91735