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Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes44.0%
No56.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsTrumpNATOGeopolitics

Highlights

Volume
$90.1K
24h Volume
$108
Liquidity
$19.6K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

44.0¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources. Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland. This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered. Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?56.0¢821h ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?44.0¢731h ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?56.0¢91h ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?60.0¢13h ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?40.0¢13h ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?40.0¢2516h ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?40.0¢2516h ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?63.0¢21d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?63.0¢21d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?57.2¢181d ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?45.0¢41d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?56.0¢51d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?59.0¢81d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?73.0¢133d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?73.0¢133d ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?32.4¢9073d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?73.0¢1323d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?31.0¢1003d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?67.0¢3453d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?34.0¢73d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?66.0¢2003d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?34.0¢253d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?35.0¢503d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?36.0¢53d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?36.0¢73d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?36.0¢303d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?63.0¢73d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?68.0¢2724d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?68.0¢64d ago
SellYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?32.0¢2664d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?69.2¢934d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?70.0¢564d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?32.0¢374d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?69.0¢1454d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?69.0¢1454d ago
BuyNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?68.9¢7264d ago
SellNoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?70.0¢3754d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?32.0¢2664d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?33.0¢364d ago
BuyYesTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?33.0¢54d ago

Holders

Yes-$3.4K total · -$336 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0x93fb…3e4a-$2.2K16,582Internal-Slope-$2224,898Fresh-Cinema-$2362,000Cheerful-Nucleotidase-$1281,670Tough-Mask-$92921Impolite-Probation-$178844Grotesque-Department-$112511Little-Anguish-$46224Nifty-Tunic-$72222Tender-Whey-$28200
No+$2.2K total · +$216 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Blue-Membership+$4625,769Unfit-Hardboard+$5654,598Bruised-Hybridisation+$5684,074Victorious-Restaurant+$3092,577Palatable-Argument+$2361,657Hoarse-Stay-$1221,148Capital-Endoderm+$63820Tinted-Piglet-$78753Suburban-Tatami+$1317280x6c10…df5c+$26700
PriceSizeTotal
74.0¢434321
75.0¢2,0991,574
76.0¢292222
77.0¢54
78.0¢5442
80.0¢380304
84.0¢475399
88.0¢599527
95.0¢1212
96.0¢1,000960
98.0¢5,5565,444
99.0¢2,0061,986
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢28,913289
2.0¢14,815296
3.0¢7,110213
4.0¢6,008240
5.0¢3,067153
6.0¢1,43286
7.0¢1,857130
8.0¢60
10.0¢2,150215
11.0¢51
17.0¢488
20.0¢51