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Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Outcomes

Yes94.5%
No5.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 10, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
ScienceWeatherClimate & ScienceGlobal Temp

Highlights

Volume
$147.3K
24h Volume
$338
Liquidity
$810
Ends
Jan 10, 2027

Price history

94.5¢

About

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution. If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?96.0¢32314h ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?96.0¢27414h ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?96.0¢4914h ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?7.0¢1514h ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢614h ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢514h ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢414h ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢11d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢11d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?7.0¢293d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢123d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢53d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢113d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?7.0¢433d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢393d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢43d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢13d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢13d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?96.0¢13d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?96.0¢13d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?95.0¢775d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?95.0¢775d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?95.0¢25d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?95.0¢25d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?8.9¢115d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?90.0¢85d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?94.0¢35d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?6.0¢175d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?94.0¢25d ago
SellNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?6.0¢155d ago
SellNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?6.0¢55d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?94.0¢55d ago
SellYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?90.2¢55d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?90.0¢55d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢05d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?7.0¢306d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?93.0¢306d ago
BuyYesWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?90.0¢406d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?10.0¢406d ago
BuyNoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?11.0¢96d ago

Holders

Yes+$3.9K total · +$390 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Charming-Pupil+$1.6K10,593Stained-Cynic+$1.3K6,108Corny-Hyphenation+$2292,290Annual-Commercial+$14660Fluid-Commotion+$99632Fancy-Snakebite+$426451Notable-Nestmate+$85318Formal-Sight+$8249Playful-Circulation+$53209Skinny-Goat+$36165
No-$3.6K total · -$359 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Winged-Tart-$1.6K10,063Past-Anybody-$1.4K7,405Hideous-Racer-$2361,1730x1d77…fdbe-$109629Glamorous-Eagle-$75600Crafty-Tangerine-$13493Graceful-Cartel-$19291Made-Up-Lye-$65207Glass-Typewriter-$29200Attentive-Fleece-$63200
PriceSizeTotal
96.0¢98
97.0¢5149
98.0¢6463
99.0¢1,3461,333
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢2,77728
2.0¢2,05041
3.0¢391
5.0¢101
8.0¢191
9.0¢61
69.0¢139
70.0¢500350
75.0¢8060
77.0¢6147
83.0¢54
89.0¢1615