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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes26.5%
No73.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsIranTrumpNuclear

Highlights

Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$28.1K
Liquidity
$103.2K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

26.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢6,4095h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢6,4095h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?73.0¢266h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢266h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?73.0¢2107h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢2107h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?28.0¢57h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?28.0¢57h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?73.0¢2107h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢2107h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢6,5437h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢6,5437h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢7,6109h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢7,4109h ago
SellNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?73.0¢2009h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?73.0¢21413h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢913h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?27.0¢20513h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?29.0¢8314h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?71.0¢8314h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?28.0¢514h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?28.0¢514h ago
SellNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢615h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?30.0¢615h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?71.0¢3017h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?29.0¢3017h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?71.0¢3017h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?29.0¢3017h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢22217h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?30.0¢2217h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?30.0¢20017h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?30.4¢55918h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?31.0¢23518h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢19318h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢10018h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢3118h ago
BuyYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?28.6¢1,75118h ago
BuyNo Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?70.0¢918h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?29.0¢20018h ago
SellYes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?29.0¢20018h ago

Holders

Yes-$22.7K total · -$2.3K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Bony-Dependency-$6.3K75,306Whimsical-Terminal+$39337,852Illustrious-Spectacles-$2219,629Mushy-Buck-$3.8K19,5760x2fad…f5c0-$3.2K16,701Dearest-Agenda-$3.7K11,912Windy-Jacket-$3.0K7,6980x9a3f…914a-$2.8K6,000Complete-Referendum-$2313,119Tempting-Wellbeing+$53,000
No+$17.0K total · +$1.7K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Bulky-Antler+$1.1K50,129Near-Familiar+$12.0K33,295Harmless-Baseball+$84933,086Angry-Evaluation+$60232,442Bruised-Steppingstone+$1.5K16,878Natural-Vacation+$55910,1230x22e4…ef1c+$3956,765Palatable-Argument+$65,245Fearless-Misnomer+$4624,998Vapid-Subprime-$5014,359
PriceSizeTotal
82.0¢1,000820
84.0¢6,5755,523
85.0¢9,3337,933
87.0¢13,07611,376
88.0¢10088
89.0¢11,81810,518
92.0¢76
93.0¢14,78613,751
95.0¢7268
96.0¢20,00019,200
98.0¢859842
99.0¢6,7076,639
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢233,2622,333
2.0¢209,3174,186
3.0¢112,5373,376
4.0¢36,1401,446
5.0¢48,5802,429
6.0¢34,9262,096
7.0¢23,1121,618
8.0¢5,225418
9.0¢13,8611,247
10.0¢15,0851,509
11.0¢1,000110
12.0¢46,1255,535