BrierBrier
HotInsightsWatchlistNotes
Lists
Modeled
Closing soon
This week
Near-certain
Your lists
Trending
SportsGamesSoccerEsportsTennisMLBbaseballcounter strike 2league of legendsValorantMLSDota 2CryptoFIFA World CupCrypto PricesBrazil Serie ALiga MXCricketPoliticsWeeklyUFCBitcoinK-leagueNorway EliteserienSweden AllsvenskanWNBAUCLGeopoliticsMulti StrikesUEL
Unlock gated features

Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes2.3%
No97.7%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsCultureCryptoBitcoin

Highlights

Volume
$21.6K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.8K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

2.3¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.8¢2531d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.8¢481d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.8¢1001d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?96.3¢1001d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.6¢61d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?96.4¢21d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.6¢21d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?96.4¢22d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.6¢22d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.2¢22d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.2¢22d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?96.1¢16d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.9¢16d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.2¢17d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.2¢17d ago
BuyYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.8¢277d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.8¢177d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.7¢107d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?97.1¢379d ago
BuyYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?2.9¢289d ago
BuyYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?3.0¢109d ago
BuyYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?2.6¢3849d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?6.9¢559d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?5.4¢209d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?95.3¢209d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.5¢1729d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.4¢379d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.4¢809d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢111d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.4¢111d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢9612d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.4¢712d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢8812d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢112d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢112d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢113d ago
BuyNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.6¢113d ago
SellYesAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?1.3¢2015d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.7¢1115d ago
SellNoAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?98.7¢915d ago

Holders

Yes-$100 total · -$10 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Uniform-Singular-$882,698Straight-Hunting-$1800Funny-Sort-$41880xd4aa…d40c+$3123Bouncy-Saving-$1114Evil-Row+$1105Surprised-Consist-$299Shabby-Snuggle-$395All-Peasant-Drug-$455Double-Valley-$152
No+$88 total · +$9 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Immense-Might+$2772Peppery-Capital+$14527Harmful-Lobby+$10399Lovable-Hutch+$14380Grateful-Washtub+$11300Trivial-Idea+$8300Near-Epauliere+$10250Ultimate-Sprat+$5209Submissive-Smelting+$8200Sardonic-Characterization+$8200
PriceSizeTotal
80.4¢3,0002,412
86.9¢3,0062,612
90.9¢3,0002,727
93.9¢9,0008,451
95.0¢2019
95.9¢55
96.0¢1,6001,536
98.9¢30,00029,670
99.6¢30,00029,880
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.8¢15,00014,970
99.9¢1,100,0241,098,924
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢19,74420
0.2¢2,6765
0.3¢3,65711
0.5¢3,33317
0.9¢1922
1.0¢2,68027
1.3¢1041
1.8¢341
1.9¢120