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Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Outcomes

Anthropic83.0%
OpenAI17.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
FinancePrivatesOpenAIClaude

Highlights

Volume
$43.1K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.1K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

83.0¢

About

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates) and here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. If Anthropic's valuation is equal to OpenAI's valuation at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢301d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢301d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?20.0¢2001d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?20.0¢2001d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢411d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢411d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢3591d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢51d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢501d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢3041d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?25.0¢41d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?75.0¢41d ago
SellAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?76.0¢41d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?24.0¢41d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?23.2¢521d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?76.0¢41d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?24.0¢51d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?23.0¢431d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?23.0¢522d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?23.0¢282d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?77.0¢242d ago
SellAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?77.0¢63d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?77.0¢63d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢163d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢163d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?22.0¢144d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?22.0¢144d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢304d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢304d ago
SellAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?77.3¢604d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?77.0¢104d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?23.0¢344d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?22.0¢164d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?83.0¢505d ago
BuyOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?17.0¢505d ago
SellAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢755d ago
SellOpenAIAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢155d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢605d ago
SellAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?83.3¢5005d ago
BuyAnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?83.0¢975d ago

Holders

Anthropic+$641 total · +$64 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Delicious-Forest+$1002,500Silent-Obsidian+$1201,600Compassionate-Lawsuit+$131,159Flamboyant-Warming+$111862Elementary-Timpani+$53667Suburban-Cell-$12600Kosher-Curry+$114600Arctic-Preference+$5489Clumsy-Supply+$72450Quizzical-Hire+$64443
OpenAI-$652 total · -$65 avg
Trader · P&LShares
United-Spacing-$2763,807Shameful-Chaos-$1782,200Only-Hype-Midwife-$111,111Subdued-Revenant-$601,000Daring-Liquor-$35608Flawed-Instruction-$19476Squiggly-Uniformity-$19476Waterlogged-Tractor-$16420Known-Use-$20311Canine-Practice-$18288
PriceSizeTotal
88.0¢2,4002,112
89.0¢600534
90.0¢3,1902,871
91.0¢6761
92.0¢308283
93.0¢435404
94.0¢638599
95.0¢906861
96.0¢1,5771,514
97.0¢3,8373,722
98.0¢4,1134,031
99.0¢7,5337,458
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢22,855229
2.0¢11,337227
3.0¢7,419223
4.0¢4,793192
5.0¢2,628131
7.0¢1,678117
10.0¢1,370137
11.0¢85194
14.0¢54376
17.0¢621106
18.0¢163
20.0¢10020