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Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Outcomes

Anduril17.5%
Lockheed Martin82.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
FinancePrivatesdefenseAI

Highlights

Volume
$3.1K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.3K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

17.5¢

About

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for the private company is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. If Anduril's valuation is equal to Lockheed Martin's public market capitalization at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?15.0¢509d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?15.0¢509d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?22.0¢2512d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?22.0¢2512d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?20.7¢5012d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?17.0¢1512d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢512d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?78.0¢512d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?23.0¢2512d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?27.4¢5013d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?24.0¢713d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?72.0¢4313d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?28.0¢713d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?72.0¢713d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.6¢64513d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.0¢5013d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.0¢5013d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.0¢5013d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.0¢5013d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?30.0¢5013d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?70.0¢513d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?31.0¢32713d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?31.0¢713d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?69.0¢5613d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?64.0¢513d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?36.0¢513d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?65.0¢1013d ago
BuyLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?65.0¢513d ago
BuyLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?65.0¢513d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?34.0¢515d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?66.0¢515d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?35.0¢515d ago
BuyLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?65.0¢515d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?60.0¢316d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?40.0¢316d ago
SellLockheed MartinAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?60.0¢5016d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?40.0¢5016d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?40.0¢1316d ago
SellAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?40.0¢1316d ago
BuyAndurilAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?37.9¢11916d ago

Holders

Anduril-$75 total · -$9 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Tangible-Fuel-$44327Demanding-City+$165Sardonic-Caper-$650Terrific-Reparation-Till-$650Clear-Cut-Hearthside-$1625Friendly-Legislation-$313Bad-Police-$07Alarmed-Oyster-$11
Lockheed Martin+$119 total · +$13 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Miniature-Leprosy+$63282Evil-Row+$24130Belated-Glue+$1547Direct-Chainstay+$742Idolized-Perspective+$621Mortified-Wetland+$210Beloved-Zone+$15Bossy-Interchange-$01Gloomy-Frigate+$11
PriceSizeTotal
24.0¢32778
29.0¢6719
30.0¢113
31.0¢5015
45.0¢326147
46.0¢979450
94.0¢5047
95.0¢182173
96.0¢303291
97.0¢500485
98.0¢945926
99.0¢2,1202,099
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢2,12021
2.0¢94519
3.0¢50015
4.0¢30312
5.0¢25513
6.0¢1237
7.0¢1269
8.0¢1008
9.0¢404
12.0¢101