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OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Outcomes

OpenAI + Anthropic10.5%
Google89.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
FinancePrivatesDario AmodeiAI

Highlights

Volume
$1.4K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9.8K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

10.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Google's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Google" if Google's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company’s public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hour trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the last NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates) and here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. If Anthropic and OpenAI’s combined valuation is equal to Google’s public market capitalization at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.6¢561d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?11.0¢361d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢201d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢103d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢103d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢145d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢45d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢55d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢55d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢347d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢347d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢110d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢110d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢1011d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?10.0¢1011d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?91.0¢2012d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?91.0¢1112d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢912d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?8.7¢5812d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢2812d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢1012d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?92.0¢2012d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?6.0¢516d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?6.0¢516d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢3520d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢520d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢3020d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
SellOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?91.0¢30020d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢4520d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢5020d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
BuyOpenAI + AnthropicOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?9.0¢10020d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?90.0¢520d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?87.0¢2820d ago
BuyGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?87.0¢2820d ago
SellGoogleOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?88.0¢4620d ago

Holders

OpenAI + Anthropic-$4 total · -$0 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Snappy-Rooster+$181Cultured-Railroad-Size+$158Grim-Garage-$157Zesty-Particle-$056Evil-Row+$151Belated-Glue-$128Compassionate-Lawsuit-$011Vigorous-Compromise-Neighbour+$010Icy-Cricket-$110Great-Component-$49
Google+$4 total · +$0 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Suburban-Cell-$4300Direct-Chainstay+$352Horrible-Snarl+$49Unlined-Pole-$05Fickle-Talk+$15Pastel-Spaghetti-$05Quarrelsome-Riddle+$14Rowdy-Tenement-$04Loving-Hate+$04Bossy-Interchange+$01
PriceSizeTotal
75.0¢2,8762,157
76.0¢1,118850
81.0¢1,8691,514
85.0¢2,9072,471
90.0¢5,4564,910
93.0¢8,6818,074
94.0¢326306
95.0¢29,89528,400
96.0¢22,78421,873
97.0¢32,48431,510
98.0¢52,33051,283
99.0¢109,338108,245
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢7,55075
2.0¢3,84077
3.0¢1,70051
4.0¢85634
5.0¢38419
6.0¢34521
7.0¢655
8.0¢74159
9.0¢303