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OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Outcomes

OpenAI18.0%
Meta82.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
FinancePrivatesMetasam altman

Highlights

Volume
$5.9K
24h Volume
$99
Liquidity
$3.0K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

18.0¢

About

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for the private company is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. If OpenAI's valuation is equal to Meta's public market capitalization at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢4621h ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢4621h ago
BuyOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢5321h ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢4621h ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢621h ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢704d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢704d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢329d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢329d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢310d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢310d ago
SellOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢4415d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢4415d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢515d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢515d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢515d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢515d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢4015d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢4015d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢8715d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢8715d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢5015d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?79.0¢5015d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.1¢5015d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢3715d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢815d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢515d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢14215d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢4215d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢5015d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢5015d ago
SellMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?81.0¢3015d ago
SellOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢3015d ago
BuyOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?20.5¢3015d ago
SellOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?21.0¢2015d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?80.0¢515d ago
SellOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?19.0¢515d ago
BuyMetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?82.0¢3015d ago
BuyOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?18.0¢3015d ago
SellOpenAIOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?18.0¢515d ago

Holders

OpenAI-$175 total · -$22 avg · 8/9
Trader · P&LShares
Golden-Unemployment-$72604Subdued-Revenant-$18299Evil-Row-$24195Tangible-Fuel-$13158Ample-Formula-$4392Direct-Chainstay-$377Zesty-Particle-$153Spirited-Bid-$020xe3ae…217a—1
Meta+$169 total · +$21 avg · 8/10
Trader · P&LShares
Verifiable-Obstacle+$102546Suburban-Cell—300Miniature-Leprosy—161Compassionate-Lawsuit+$393Present-Lambkin+$4392Pointed-Chap+$484Left-Codon+$859Rowdy-Tenement$045Shimmering-Corruption+$229Belated-Glue+$621
PriceSizeTotal
40.0¢208
41.0¢604248
65.0¢10870
85.0¢5648
86.0¢237204
89.0¢493439
93.0¢1,0881,012
95.0¢1,8111,721
96.0¢3,4203,283
97.0¢5,5805,413
98.0¢8,5438,372
99.0¢17,90817,729
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢7,86679
2.0¢3,90778
3.0¢2,03061
4.0¢1,39056
5.0¢72236
6.0¢50330
7.0¢30421
8.0¢16113
9.0¢11610
14.0¢50070
15.0¢50075
16.0¢9515