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Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes54.5%
No45.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$13.2K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$13.6K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

54.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Bilytske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the entirety of the specified area, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Mvo2YhxGYBVhKSm89 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢12h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢12h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢22h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢22h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢532h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢532h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢272h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢272h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢342h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢342h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢112h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢112h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢02h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢02h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?44.0¢02h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?56.0¢02h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢342h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢342h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢712h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢712h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?45.0¢02h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?45.0¢02h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.6¢6916h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?55.0¢4016h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢3016h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢10017h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢10017h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢15018h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢10018h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢5018h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?53.4¢76818h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?53.0¢23018h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?53.0¢20018h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢11118h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢5018h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢17718h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢2021h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢2021h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?54.0¢323h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?46.0¢323h ago

Holders

Yes+$401 total · +$40 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Demanding-Chopsticks+$2821,433Truthful-Level+$541,362Agonizing-Region+$20410Untimely-Charge+$8300Far-Off-Poor+$1250Funny-Connotation+$1200Scared-Administrator+$3200Evil-Row+$51590xbd6d…ed0b+$17110Filthy-Frequency+$1080
No-$427 total · -$43 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Frosty-Starboard-$1481,796High-Alarm-$33752Well-Lit-Jiffy-$110637Wide-Eyed-Dark-$64238Demanding-Stake-$5208Gifted-Headline-$24167Dependent-Millimeter-$7151Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse-$2790Velvety-Confirmation-$486Arctic-Kickoff-$679
PriceSizeTotal
57.0¢614350
58.0¢172100
59.0¢200118
65.0¢3422
66.0¢200132
73.0¢54
74.0¢6750
82.0¢400328
94.0¢109
95.0¢2019
96.0¢3,0002,880
99.0¢1919
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢2,25623
2.0¢1,50730
3.0¢1,00030
4.0¢13,500540
5.0¢27014
6.0¢101
10.0¢10,0001,000
13.0¢5,000650
20.0¢51
22.0¢7517
25.0¢10,0002,500
26.0¢3,050793