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Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes2.0%
No98.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$15.8K
24h Volume
$197
Liquidity
$392
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

1.9¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.696500° N, 36.082206° E in Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.3¢4012h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.3¢4012h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.3¢4013h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.3¢4013h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?96.4¢11718h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.6¢11718h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.5¢232d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?0.4¢182d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?1.0¢52d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?97.7¢622d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?2.3¢622d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?96.3¢3632d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.7¢402d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.7¢402d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.7¢1532d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.7¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.8¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.8¢402d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?96.2¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.7¢352d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?96.3¢352d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?4.1¢155d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?95.9¢155d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?95.9¢315d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?4.1¢315d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?4.1¢235d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?95.9¢155d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?4.2¢85d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?94.4¢815d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?5.5¢305d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?5.6¢315d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?94.4¢205d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?92.1¢116d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?7.9¢116d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?9.7¢417d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?17.9¢17d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?84.3¢57d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?89.0¢137d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?92.1¢207d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?3.8¢27d ago

Holders

Yes-$735 total · -$73 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Burdensome-Toga-$3501,109Prime-Centurion-$2237200x2e8e…5b53-$60496Snappy-Rooster-$3182Experienced-Goodie-$5122Different-Transit-$4794Firsthand-Eaglet-$1986Genuine-Tribe+$180Pleasing-Elm-$1078Distant-Essay-$1961
No+$778 total · +$78 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Short-Term-Conditioner+$362647Cylindrical-Ale+$152580Critical-Depression+$10473Grimy-Turnstile+$58314Yellowish-Receptor+$84270Bland-Caviar+$362000xa832…abf8+$10177Loving-Win+$221650x88da…15c6+$301330x6643…620e+$1563
PriceSizeTotal
3.5¢853
3.6¢70
3.7¢20
18.0¢9517
20.9¢408
21.0¢18739
26.0¢3710
99.0¢55
99.8¢8282
99.9¢784783
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢7,1917
0.2¢4141
0.3¢970
0.4¢1971
0.5¢840