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Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes2.7%
No97.3%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$33.4K
24h Volume
$111
Liquidity
$882
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

0.4¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Mykhailivka, Sumy Oblast, (50.797758° N, 35.315210° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.6¢184h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.4¢114h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.4¢84h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢337h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢337h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢48h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢48h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢69h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢69h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.7¢3710h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.3¢2210h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.3¢510h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.3¢1010h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.8¢213h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.2¢213h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.6¢615h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?0.2¢315h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?1.0¢315h ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?97.9¢519h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?2.1¢519h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?98.0¢41d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?2.0¢41d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?99.0¢21d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?1.0¢21d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.1¢181d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.4¢221d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.5¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.5¢401d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?96.5¢21d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.5¢21d ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?96.6¢4381d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.0¢231d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.3¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.4¢1441d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?3.4¢51d ago

Holders

Yes-$112 total · -$11 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Trusting-Wish-$52300Petty-Equation-Catalogue-$40300High-Alarm-$1150Snappy-Rooster-$1144Pleasing-Pantologist+$0108Tedious-Fig-Lumberman-$594Bouncy-Saving-$064Legitimate-Rebellion-$057Belated-Glue-$1055Rowdy-Tenement-$249
No+$116 total · +$12 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Vital-Saucer+$2342Insignificant-Counselling+$40300Striped-Crazy+$8207Compassionate-Kneejerk+$39188Required-Wrecker+$973Sparkling-Self+$1266Dismal-Moustache+$254Suburban-Anticipation-$1330x60ba…f7ec+$419Dear-Graft+$116
PriceSizeTotal
4.6¢121
4.7¢301
4.8¢502
5.0¢492
5.9¢644
6.0¢1006
6.3¢392
40.0¢900360
98.9¢6565
99.0¢105104
99.8¢2727
99.9¢125125
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢10,44410
0.2¢3781
0.3¢660
0.4¢840
0.5¢3622
0.6¢300
0.8¢250
0.9¢1001