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Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes1.1%
No99.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$40.5K
24h Volume
$402
Liquidity
$914
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

2.8¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Stinky, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578829902717374° N, 37.73960567273168° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?98.4¢945h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?1.6¢945h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?98.3¢405h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?1.7¢205h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?1.7¢205h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?97.9¢3212h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?2.1¢3212h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?97.9¢815h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?2.1¢815h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢521h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢521h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?6.0¢1721h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?94.0¢1721h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?97.0¢20621h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢20121h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢521h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢261d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?3.0¢261d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8831d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4481d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4351d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8831d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4501d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4331d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8921d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4401d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4521d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8921d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4421d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4501d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8831d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4251d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4581d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8831d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4401d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4431d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8981d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4431d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?96.0¢4551d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?4.0¢8981d ago

Holders

Yes-$675 total · -$68 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0x2e8e…5b53-$2611,634High-Alarm-$46298Snappy-Rooster-$36256Evil-Row-$77253Confused-Dead-$602080xee67…67a6-$4206Joint-Washbasin-$61200Glum-Kitty-$52194Quarrelsome-Seller-$48180Scared-Administrator-$31120
No+$645 total · +$65 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Descriptive-Pug-Lumberman+$134788Demanding-Chopsticks+$109718Giddy-Figure+$97607Silly-Coin+$92543Disloyal-Flag+$133491Honorable-Statistics+$7227Giddy-Convenience+$4206Grimy-Turnstile+$22123Dismal-Moustache+$21122Arid-Cinema+$28100
PriceSizeTotal
26.0¢4010
62.0¢106
92.8¢87
92.9¢1313
93.0¢4542
94.9¢3230
95.0¢105100
96.0¢5048
99.0¢55
99.7¢6767
99.8¢115115
99.9¢216216
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢5,2815
0.2¢3331
0.3¢1991
1.0¢7237