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Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes9.5%
No90.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$46.8K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.8K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

10.0¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast, (48.299654° N, 37.265129° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.9¢61d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢01d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢51d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢331d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢331d ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?9.0¢501d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?91.0¢501d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢01d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢01d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢72d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢72d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢332d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢332d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢562d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢562d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?88.0¢54d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?88.0¢54d ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?10.0¢104d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢104d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢85d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢85d ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?10.0¢385d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢245d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?90.0¢145d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢205d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?11.0¢205d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢205d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?11.0¢185d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢25d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢115d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢115d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢905d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢905d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢2105d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢1805d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢305d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢155d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢155d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢15d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?89.0¢15d ago

Holders

Yes-$671 total · -$67 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Impolite-Mode-$3932,173Red-Heat-$752,130Plush-Tick-$561,467Ideal-Bread-$22350Snappy-Rooster-$162360x3819…fa2a-$85173Long-Term-Overhead-$3135Required-Portrait-$10110Imaginative-Shoes-$140Imaginary-Supplier-$1130
No+$565 total · +$56 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Frosty-Starboard+$671,019High-Alarm+$66712Flamboyant-Warming+$280577Waterlogged-Misnomer+$71521Graceful-Trigger+$26334Real-Flour+$12331Troubled-Dragonfly+$11326Brilliant-Assistance+$11322Fat-Chinchilla+$11309Whispered-Clipper-Jailhouse+$10291
PriceSizeTotal
16.0¢142
17.0¢102
21.0¢6514
22.0¢51
23.0¢256
27.0¢10027
44.0¢240106
59.0¢15089
90.0¢3128
94.0¢99
95.0¢2019
99.0¢2222
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢1652
2.0¢1232
3.0¢2588
4.0¢251
5.0¢593
6.0¢1187
7.0¢59742
8.0¢19716
9.0¢101