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US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Outcomes

Yes89.0%
No10.9%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsDec 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsTrumpPoliticsChina

Highlights

Volume
$167.6K
24h Volume
$165
Liquidity
$34.5K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Price history

89.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢1651d ago
BuyYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.1¢501d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢701d ago
BuyYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.1¢451d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.1¢81d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢81d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.5¢51d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.5¢51d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.5¢2451d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.5¢2451d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?8.8¢2451d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?91.3¢1651d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?91.2¢301d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.0¢501d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.4¢202d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?90.6¢152d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.5¢52d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?9.7¢2002d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?90.6¢172d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?90.5¢1002d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.0¢502d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.1¢342d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢3612d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.8¢202d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.2¢192d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.2¢442d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢2002d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.9¢342d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.1¢452d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?87.9¢32d ago
BuyYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?87.9¢32d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?12.1¢1242d ago
BuyYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?87.9¢652d ago
BuyYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?88.0¢452d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?12.0¢142d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.6¢502d ago
SellYesUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?89.4¢502d ago
SellNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.7¢1232d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.2¢122d ago
BuyNoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?10.4¢502d ago

Holders

Yes+$592 total · +$59 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Ripe-Cake+$1524,885Marvelous-Headlight+$1041,183Unnatural-Energy+$381,106Weak-Sanctity+$53779Unlined-Marshmallow+$31719Flamboyant-Warming+$135678Silent-Obsidian+$22379Notable-Sitar+$37300Brilliant-Laparoscope+$14250Small-Pompom+$5114
No-$114 total · -$11 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Capital-Endoderm+$193,323Dry-Chromolithograph-$941,591Sharp-Newsletter+$13746Heartfelt-Exchange-$10708Overdue-Affair-Mat+$30600Breakable-Bottomline+$4426Unselfish-Effort-$9373Immediate-Geology-$20285Scarce-Footnote-$40261Evil-Row-$7254
PriceSizeTotal
98.3¢350344
98.7¢77
98.8¢883873
98.9¢2,4092,383
99.0¢2,1332,111
99.1¢1,1111,101
99.2¢632627
99.3¢764759
99.6¢1111
99.7¢3,0002,991
99.8¢3,0613,055
99.9¢7,2057,198
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢14,56715
0.2¢440
1.0¢289,1492,891
2.0¢123,9662,479
2.1¢80
3.0¢46,5851,398
4.0¢37,8731,515
5.0¢4,623231
6.0¢7,141428
7.0¢4,392307
8.0¢64151
9.0¢17,1671,545