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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Outcomes

Yes3.5%
No96.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
AITechGeminigoogle

Highlights

Volume
$87.2K
24h Volume
$172
Liquidity
$5.8K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

3.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?95.5¢1714h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?94.9¢694h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?4.4¢244h ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?4.3¢514h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?96.8¢274h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?98.0¢25h ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?98.0¢25h ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.7¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.3¢51d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.1¢1761d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.0¢761d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?96.9¢1001d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.1¢561d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.1¢161d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.1¢401d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?96.8¢3901d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?96.7¢1921d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.2¢1331d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.0¢651d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.7¢51d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.7¢51d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.0¢592d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.0¢142d ago
BuyNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.0¢452d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.0¢502d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.0¢262d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.1¢242d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?96.1¢92d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.9¢92d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.3¢2502d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.0¢462d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.1¢1332d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?2.1¢62d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.0¢652d ago
BuyYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.9¢262d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.9¢262d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.0¢12d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.0¢12d ago
SellNoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?97.0¢512d ago
SellYesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?3.0¢512d ago

Holders

Yes-$17.1K total · -$1.7K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist-$9.2K10,950Sparse-Cosset-$4.2K5,500Monstrous-Dew-$1872,501Flamboyant-Warming-$1.1K1,399Suspicious-Goat-$9571,174Brown-Tragedy-$7951,000Wobbly-Humour-$111920Proud-Saint-$43835Understated-Hippopotamus-$91758Polished-Hexagon-$384454
No+$10.7K total · +$1.1K avg
Trader · P&LShares
Each-Jeans+$6.9K8,125Personal-Lava+$4284,644Past-Laboratory+$1973,460Sparse-Cookie+$1242,086Fair-Tan+$871,7850x714d…c177+$1.3K1,700Kindhearted-Verification+$1.3K1,385Infamous-Palace-Drizzle+$541,168Mysterious-Strait+$226912Harsh-Obligation+$46884
PriceSizeTotal
90.0¢821739
94.0¢600564
95.0¢55
99.0¢55
99.2¢55
99.3¢3333
99.4¢2,1942,181
99.5¢7,3137,276
99.6¢3,0002,988
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.8¢1515
99.9¢5,4015,395
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢14,49214
0.2¢6,52113
0.3¢1,2464
0.4¢6843
0.5¢260
0.7¢3002
0.8¢1041
0.9¢3003
1.0¢210
1.2¢3004
1.3¢1802
1.4¢120