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Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?

Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?

Outcomes

Yes13.1%
No87.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJan 1, 2027
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
hackZcashCryptoprotocol-risk

Highlights

Volume
$25.4K
24h Volume
$553
Liquidity
$4.3K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027

Price history

13.1¢

About

This market asks whether Zcash's Orchard pool vulnerability publicized June 4 is confirmed to have been exploited on Zcash mainnet before it was fixed. This market resolves "Yes" if Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that the June 4 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability was exploited on mainnet before the fix was activated by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Explicit confirmation of any of the following will qualify: - The Orchard pool bug was exploited on Zcash mainnet - Any extra, unauthorized, invalid, or unbacked Zcash was created in the Orchard pool through this vulnerability - A Zcash network upgrade, migration, audit, turnstile-accounting process (including the proposed new shielded pool with enforced turnstile accounting on exiting Orchard coins), or official investigation reveals excess or invalid Zcash in the Orchard pool that the source attributes to this specific vulnerability. New or different exploits targeting the Orchard pool after the original vulnerability was fixed are explicitly disqualified and will not qualify. This market will resolve based on official information from Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying exploit may also resolve this market.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?90.4¢5533h ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?9.5¢5043h ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?9.7¢393h ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?11.3¢53h ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?14.1¢53h ago
SellYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?15.0¢106d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?14.1¢56d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢56d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?84.0¢1,5746d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?84.0¢106d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢1,4906d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.1¢746d ago
SellYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢67d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢67d ago
SellYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.1¢1027d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢627d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.9¢57d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.9¢57d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.7¢217d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.6¢97d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.8¢111d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.8¢111d ago
SellYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.1¢3114d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.9¢2514d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?83.8¢614d ago
SellNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢516d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢516d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?19.2¢517d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢517d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?19.2¢2617d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢117d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢517d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢1017d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.8¢517d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?80.9¢517d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?84.0¢10018d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢10018d ago
BuyNoZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?84.0¢21418d ago
BuyYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢21418d ago
SellYesZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?16.0¢1,19721d ago

Holders

Yes+$130 total · +$13 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Annual-Watercress-Indicator-$2927,523Strict-Quiet+$2593,124Watery-Distortion+$88800Subdued-Revenant+$18504Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere+$15471Evil-Row+$28365Kosher-Thermostat-$11302Timely-Photo+$22212Pleasing-Elm-$274Belated-Glue+$561
No-$856 total · -$86 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Watery-Anorak-$9269,877Nutty-Impostor+$471,574Shimmering-Reindeer+$31638Motherly-Grief-$19553Orange-Seep+$6297Magnificent-Sweat-$1280Conscious-Car+$32000x8931…a90c+$151Affectionate-Woman+$135Those-Supervision+$130
PriceSizeTotal
25.6¢103
25.7¢20051
26.0¢51
60.5¢106
60.6¢178108
73.5¢394289
73.6¢318234
94.9¢66
95.0¢2019
99.6¢1818
99.7¢8,8908,863
99.9¢88
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢47,34647
0.2¢20,96142
0.3¢15,45746
0.4¢9,68539
0.5¢7,24136
0.6¢6,58239
0.7¢5,21937
0.8¢4,91939
0.9¢4,67142
1.0¢4,50045
1.1¢3,63640
1.2¢3,75045