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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes20.4%
No79.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
MexicoPoliticsTrumpGeopolitics

Highlights

Volume
$50.2K
24h Volume
$17.9K
Liquidity
$20.2K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

46.5¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.4¢268m ago
SellYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.4¢68m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.6¢208m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.7¢2521m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.3¢2521m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.7¢20026m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.3¢20026m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.7¢29028m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.3¢29028m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.3¢7028m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.7¢5028m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.7¢2028m ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.8¢50039m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.2¢50039m ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.2¢101h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.8¢101h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.9¢2001h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.1¢2001h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.9¢141h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.1¢141h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?80.0¢501h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.0¢501h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?80.0¢1,2501h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.0¢1,2271h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.1¢231h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?79.9¢131h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.1¢131h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?80.0¢101h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.0¢101h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?80.0¢101h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?20.0¢101h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?16.8¢751h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?83.0¢51h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?83.0¢401h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?83.4¢131h ago
SellYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?16.5¢111h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?83.6¢61h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?83.0¢101h ago
BuyYesU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?17.0¢101h ago
BuyNoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?77.2¢51h ago

Holders

Yes-$3.1K total · -$309 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Husky-Gelatin-$3.1K13,111Lazy-Rationale+$101,8830xd8f8…7dda+$1585Medical-Lumberman-Popcorn+$1240Second-Hand-Follower-$0177Entire-Hood-$19153Worse-Cofactor-$5102Belated-Glue-$780Pleasing-Elm-$974Weird-Freedom+$1060
No+$2.5K total · +$245 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Stunning-Headquarters+$1.5K4,517Silent-Obsidian+$912,240Mammoth-Tape+$691,494Sunny-Caramel-$61,250Flamboyant-Warming+$4611,156Ripe-Cake+$69856Our-Buckle-$2700Heartfelt-Image+$76500Hateful-Generation+$4497Unselfish-Scallion+$212418
PriceSizeTotal
87.9¢125110
88.0¢10,8949,587
91.9¢76
92.0¢12,50011,500
95.3¢600572
95.6¢7370
96.0¢20,00019,200
98.9¢1817
99.0¢1,005995
99.6¢88
99.8¢66
99.9¢12,18712,175
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢18,99619
0.2¢5,00910
0.3¢3361
0.4¢2,50010
0.5¢110
1.0¢5055
1.1¢5006
1.2¢3004
1.3¢1,18015
1.4¢230
5.0¢3,063153
6.0¢50030