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Megaquake by July 31?

Megaquake by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes2.1%
No97.9%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
Natural DisasterWeatherearthquakeEarthquakes

Highlights

Volume
$32.2K
24h Volume
$253
Liquidity
$3.9K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

2.1¢

About

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.8¢1002h ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.2¢1002h ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.6¢1003h ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.4¢1003h ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.8¢45h ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.2¢45h ago
SellYesMegaquake by July 31?1.2¢2913h ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.2¢2913h ago
SellNoMegaquake by July 31?97.4¢1015h ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.4¢1015h ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.8¢1022h ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.2¢1022h ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.3¢771d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.6¢501d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.8¢271d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.2¢101d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?1.8¢101d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.0¢1002d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.0¢1002d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?98.0¢752d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.0¢752d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.7¢252d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.2¢132d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.4¢132d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.4¢132d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?2.6¢132d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢922d ago
SellNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢922d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?3.4¢292d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?96.5¢102d ago
SellYesMegaquake by July 31?3.4¢192d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢523d ago
SellNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢523d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?96.9¢13d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?3.1¢13d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?96.9¢184d ago
BuyYesMegaquake by July 31?3.1¢184d ago
BuyNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢2064d ago
SellNoMegaquake by July 31?97.0¢2064d ago
SellYesMegaquake by July 31?3.0¢1004d ago

Holders

Yes-$2.0K total · -$197 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Discrete-Flung-$7257,862Muffled-Backup-$4784,831Afraid-Retrospect-$1522,489Fluid-Lookout-$4691,459Inferior-Implement-$21711Pleasing-Elm-$15490Squeaky-Outline-Opposition-$42400Legal-Patriot-$3318Colorful-Listening-$49296Liquid-Comment-$11284
No+$1.4K total · +$143 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Submissive-Generosity+$66810,070Blaring-Surge+$1793,123Forthright-Challenge+$111,2000xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029+$136709Pleasant-Complexity+$18632Twin-Panic+$28600Absolute-Legend+$6438Helpful-Adoption+$307410Tinted-Piglet+$40401Slushy-Corral+$35353
PriceSizeTotal
97.6¢77
97.7¢800782
97.8¢2,0001,956
97.9¢800783
98.0¢2,0001,960
98.9¢400396
99.0¢7,5107,435
99.5¢1717
99.6¢2,8002,789
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.8¢88
99.9¢1,6251,623
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢6,6167
0.2¢3,0366
0.4¢2501
0.6¢2131
0.8¢1251
1.0¢1,04510
1.2¢320
1.6¢1002