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Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
W

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Outcomes

Yes80.5%
No19.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 18, 2026
ResolverUMA0x69c4…5f24
Source—
Category
Global RatesBOJWorldEconomic Policy

Highlights

Volume
$44.2K
24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Ends
Sep 18, 2026

Price history

80.5¢

About

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢1181h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢1181h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?20.0¢1401h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢1401h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?19.0¢521h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?81.0¢521h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?19.0¢2661h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?81.0¢661h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?81.0¢2001h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢301h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢201h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢101h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢231h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢231h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢401h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢401h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢601h ago
SellNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢601h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢901h ago
SellNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢901h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢1021h ago
SellNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢1021h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢301h ago
SellNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢201h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢101h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢101h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢101h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢101h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢101h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?85.0¢591h ago
BuyNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?15.0¢591h ago
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢525h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢525h ago
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢1455h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?80.0¢1455h ago
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?82.0¢55h ago
SellNoWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?18.0¢55h ago
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?85.0¢1005h ago
BuyYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?85.0¢1005h ago
SellYesWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?85.0¢505h ago

Holders

Yes+$689 total · +$69 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Pretty-Mother+$5334,460Homely-Mattress+$311,281Wilted-Bump+$4887Unripe-Majority+$21469Automatic-Cappuccino+$25312Snappy-Rooster-$13291Arctic-Kickoff-$10208Wee-Patio+$14204Arid-Cinema+$43200Quaint-Tension+$40196
No+$1.1K total · +$110 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0xa5ef…2966+$1.2K6,376Square-Trust-$58701Attentive-Crewman+$7525Unsung-Climb-$81411Fussy-Defeat+$4159Spirited-Priest+$2108Creamy-Geology-$2100Tangible-Fuel-$1195Fumbling-Mare-Pocketwatch-$278Infatuated-Nun-$270
PriceSizeTotal
88.0¢1,2251,078
89.0¢892794
90.0¢967870
91.0¢852775
92.0¢6055
93.0¢929864
94.0¢174164
95.0¢610580
96.0¢1,0921,048
97.0¢1,0411,010
98.0¢500490
99.0¢1,5511,535
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢7,00070
2.0¢5,608112
3.0¢75223
4.0¢120
5.0¢35018
6.0¢1056
10.0¢2,716272
16.0¢10016
19.0¢204
63.0¢53
68.0¢200136
69.0¢6041