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Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?

Outcomes

Yes33.5%
No66.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 30, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$3.6K
24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$533
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

33.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢017h ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢017h ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢117h ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢117h ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?68.0¢117h ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?68.0¢117h ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?67.0¢3322h ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?33.0¢622h ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?67.0¢2722h ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?67.0¢302d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?67.0¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?33.0¢32d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?67.0¢32d ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?33.0¢282d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?33.0¢282d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?66.0¢72d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?34.0¢72d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢102d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?35.0¢102d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?64.2¢52d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?35.0¢12d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?36.0¢42d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?65.0¢202d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?35.0¢202d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?63.9¢1002d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?36.0¢482d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?36.0¢302d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?64.0¢82d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?64.0¢62d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?63.0¢82d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?59.0¢372d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?59.0¢82d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?41.0¢302d ago
SellYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?41.7¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?41.0¢202d ago
SellNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?57.0¢102d ago
BuyNoWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?55.9¢3702d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?44.0¢602d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?44.0¢302d ago
BuyYesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?44.0¢2302d ago

Holders

Yes-$280 total · -$28 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Cylindrical-Ale-$1571,072Tangible-Fuel-$24230Trustworthy-Crayon-$45199Evil-Row-$20124Extra-Small-Rawhide+$060Rowdy-Tenement-$160Venerated-Worm-$950Early-Frosting-$147Loving-Win-$1140Experienced-Cheetah-$1240
No+$267 total · +$27 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Yellow-Bother+$158961Light-Front+$42408Wealthy-Stump+$32182High-Alarm+$17162Corny-Machine+$885Belated-Glue+$541Dependent-Millimeter+$332Arctic-Kickoff-$027Vivid-Inspector-$2200x8e31…30b1+$320
PriceSizeTotal
62.0¢159
63.0¢106
65.0¢5033
67.0¢2013
69.0¢226156
71.0¢2518
80.0¢420336
81.0¢5041
91.0¢65
92.0¢125115
95.0¢1010
99.0¢2727
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢1,01110
2.0¢60012
3.0¢2508
4.0¢171
10.0¢40841
21.0¢5211
25.0¢256
26.0¢257
27.0¢257
28.0¢164
29.0¢257
30.0¢237