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Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?

Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?

Outcomes

Yes59.0%
No41.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 30, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$4.5K
24h Volume
$51
Liquidity
$1.7K
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

59.0¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, (49.048958° N, 37.829063° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?45.0¢109h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?45.0¢109h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?41.0¢618h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?41.0¢618h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?40.3¢2518h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?41.0¢618h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?40.0¢1218h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?40.0¢718h ago
BuyNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?58.0¢1022h ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?42.0¢1022h ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?40.0¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?40.0¢251d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?60.0¢151d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?41.0¢121d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?41.0¢121d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?55.3¢281d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?55.0¢211d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?56.0¢71d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?52.0¢121d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?48.0¢121d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?52.9¢301d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?48.0¢231d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?44.0¢71d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?56.0¢301d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?44.0¢301d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?56.0¢401d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?44.0¢401d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?56.0¢401d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?44.0¢401d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?56.0¢301d ago
SellNoWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?44.0¢301d ago
SellYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.1¢2781d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢121d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢401d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢301d ago
BuyYesWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?57.0¢401d ago

Holders

Yes+$72 total · +$7 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Wealthy-Stump+$26224High-Alarm+$21143Damaged-Buzzard+$848Acidic-Angora+$530Belated-Glue+$129Dependent-Millimeter+$528Arctic-Kickoff+$123Gorgeous-Pronunciation+$117Best-Karate+$312Rowdy-Tenement+$19
No-$120 total · -$12 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Required-Wrecker-$70200Easy-Koala-$2182Grimy-Turnstile-$2269Alarming-Essential-$1545Arid-Cinema-$535White-Quarter-$210Acidic-Curd-$19Tidy-Octopus-Escape-$28Extroverted-Meet-$18Insignificant-Forelimb-$08
PriceSizeTotal
73.0¢6850
82.0¢6654
83.0¢10083
85.0¢8068
86.0¢109
90.0¢4036
93.0¢87
94.0¢6662
95.0¢110105
96.0¢4341
98.0¢99
99.0¢1,1161,105
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢52,261523
2.0¢1,50830
3.0¢5,800174
4.0¢1,25050
5.0¢75038
6.0¢3,356201
7.0¢81
16.0¢10016
23.0¢25058
25.0¢256
26.0¢4512
33.0¢25083