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Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?

Outcomes

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 30, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$861
24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$419
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

37.5¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.612850° N, 36.062680° E in Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Huliaipilske1.png Intersection Location in Huliaipilske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Huliaipilske2.png Huliaipilske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Huliaipilske3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/MyKqBywUGcMihVGJ8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?34.0¢27h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?34.0¢27h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?37.0¢303d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?37.0¢223d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?37.0¢83d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?64.0¢25d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?64.0¢25d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?26.0¢3014d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?74.0¢3014d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?27.0¢516d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?27.0¢516d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?64.0¢1517d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?64.0¢1517d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?65.0¢1517d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?35.0¢1517d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?65.0¢1017d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?35.0¢1017d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1017d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢1017d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢4017d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1017d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1017d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢2017d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?73.0¢1017d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?27.0¢1017d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?28.0¢3517d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?28.0¢1017d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?28.0¢2517d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1517d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢1517d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1517d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢1517d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢2017d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢2017d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢2017d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢2017d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢1017d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢1017d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?71.0¢2017d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?29.0¢2017d ago

Holders

Yes+$23 total · +$3 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Fine-Trouble+$1587High-Alarm+$641Tall-Litigation-Shutdown+$022Ill-Fated-Pegboard+$19Insignificant-Forelimb+$08Pleasing-Elm+$15Sniveling-Cat+$02
No-$27 total · -$3 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0xe0f1…c4bd-$17100Required-Portrait-$230Evil-Row-$425Academic-Meteor-$16Relieved-Return-$15Demanding-Stake-$03Surprised-Monger-$02Pointed-Muscat-$01Only-Member-$01
PriceSizeTotal
41.0¢229
42.0¢8234
43.0¢14663
50.0¢5025
65.0¢5033
70.0¢293205
75.0¢7053
80.0¢420336
91.0¢65
92.0¢125115
95.0¢1010
99.0¢2727
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢460
2.0¢160
3.0¢130
10.0¢505
16.0¢508
34.0¢5318