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Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?

Outcomes

Yes24.0%
No76.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 30, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraine Map

Highlights

Volume
$6.5K
24h Volume
$404
Liquidity
$955
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

24.0¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?24.0¢304h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?24.0¢304h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.1¢4019h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.0¢3019h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.0¢519h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?18.0¢519h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.0¢4020h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.0¢4020h ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?22.3¢4020h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?17.0¢520h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?77.0¢520h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?77.0¢3020h ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.5¢25421h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?25.0¢4021h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?25.0¢4021h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?25.0¢4021h ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?75.0¢521h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢4721h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢4121h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢4121h ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?27.0¢83d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?73.0¢83d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?27.0¢53d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?73.0¢53d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.7¢194d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?27.0¢144d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢54d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢156d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢156d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢206d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢206d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢156d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢156d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢156d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢156d ago
SellYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢356d ago
SellNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢356d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢356d ago
BuyYesWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?26.0¢356d ago
BuyNoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?74.0¢156d ago

Holders

Yes-$53 total · -$5 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Sniveling-Cat-$20384Silly-Coin-$1108Direct-Chainstay-$1297Belated-Glue-$986Known-Use-$253Small-Pompom+$448Evil-Row-$340Defenseless-Eyebrow-$540Legitimate-Rebellion-$432Rowdy-Tenement$030
No+$67 total · +$7 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Cylindrical-Ale+$27335Unfit-Hardboard+$4254Plush-Thong+$890Descriptive-Pug-Lumberman+$979Agreeable-Chromolithograph+$463Honest-Cufflink+$440Heartfelt-Image+$236Perfumed-Venue+$2290x13fd…f553+$19Dependent-Millimeter+$78
PriceSizeTotal
29.0¢51
37.0¢8933
39.0¢6023
41.0¢7029
42.0¢9841
43.0¢5022
64.0¢194124
76.0¢350266
92.0¢125115
95.0¢1010
97.0¢87
98.0¢2121
Spread 97.0¢Mid 49.5¢
1.0¢4104
2.0¢1503
3.0¢80
10.0¢323
18.0¢509
19.0¢5010
21.0¢25954
22.0¢10523
23.0¢18543