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US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

Outcomes

Yes3.3%
No96.8%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsSep 30, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
GeopoliticsPeace DealMiddle EastIran

Highlights

Volume
$74.5K
24h Volume
$7.5K
Liquidity
$38.2K
Ends
Sep 30, 2026

Price history

3.3¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will completely withdraw from Al Udeid Air Base between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base refers to a US directive to remove all military personnel from the base. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of The United States’ present implementation of, previously-unannounced prior implementation of, or definitive decision to implement a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base. An announcement of a decision to implement such a withdrawal will qualify, regardless of whether some personnel remain at the base, or whether personnel are intended to remain for a period of time prior to withdrawal. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base. The announcement need not use specific terminology, provided the substance of a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base is clearly and unambiguously communicated. For example, an announcement that the United States will permanently end military operations at Al Udeid Air Base, or withdraw all troops from Qatar (necessarily including Al Udeid), would qualify; however a vague announcement that the United States will draw down its troop presence in the middle east would not. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify as official announcements: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for Donald Trump or the United States government or military; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States will announce or implement a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional implementation of a withdrawal rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the withdrawal is ever actually implemented. Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.1¢27h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?2.9¢27h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.0¢2127h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.0¢1107h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.0¢117h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.0¢127h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?97.0¢797h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢9008h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4658h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4358h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢9008h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4558h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4458h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢4708h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4708h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢4408h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4408h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢4508h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4508h ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢4608h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢4608h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢45011h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢45011h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢46011h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢46011h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢47011h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢47011h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢44011h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢44011h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢44511h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢44511h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢45511h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢45511h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢46511h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢46511h ago
BuyNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.3¢43511h ago
BuyYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.7¢43511h ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.2¢11d ago
SellYesUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?3.8¢11d ago
SellNoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?96.2¢11d ago

Holders

Yes-$87 total · -$9 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Unfit-Coleslaw-$716,663Same-Similarity+$152,692Essential-Diarist-$11,488Few-Prevention-$371,192Tremendous-Divide-$7427Haunting-Rubric-$10407Harsh-Speed-$37384Colorful-Counselling-$1264Grim-Garage-$0202Evil-Row-$2200
No+$458 total · +$46 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Bleak-Full+$2576,851Worried-Poem+$214,719Grounded-Depression+$774,393Fearless-Misnomer+$113,234Circular-Sandpaper-Larder+$681,061Crowded-Accommodation+$81,042Immaculate-Hassock+$81,015Warm-Vane-$31,000Small-Pompom+$2300Defenseless-Placement+$10255
PriceSizeTotal
90.0¢10,0009,000
92.0¢3,1252,875
94.0¢8,0007,520
94.9¢5,6135,327
95.0¢28,71027,275
97.8¢77
98.0¢30,00029,400
99.3¢155154
99.4¢50,01149,711
99.5¢30,00029,850
99.8¢1414
99.9¢2,1242,122
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢187,301187
0.2¢49,16198
0.3¢29,81789
0.4¢39,869159
0.5¢24,201121
0.6¢14,31786
0.7¢10,07070
0.8¢7,88963
0.9¢4,02836
1.0¢6,95570
1.1¢3,36737
1.2¢1,21915