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Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes12.4%
No87.5%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Source—
Category
PoliticsTrumpAIOpenAI

Highlights

Volume
$7.4K
24h Volume
$550
Liquidity
$2.3K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

11.9¢

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?84.0¢512m ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?84.0¢512m ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?83.9¢912m ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?16.1¢912m ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?91.9¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?91.5¢371h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.0¢71h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.1¢71h ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.2¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.1¢151h ago
SellYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?6.8¢361h ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.5¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?93.1¢291h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.0¢51h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.1¢161h ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.1¢341h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.1¢341h ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.1¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.1¢501h ago
SellNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢3021h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢341h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.6¢501h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.8¢281h ago
SellYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?5.2¢201h ago
SellYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?5.2¢201h ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.9¢351d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?5.1¢351d ago
SellYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?5.1¢51d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?5.1¢51d ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?96.9¢52d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?3.1¢52d ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?95.5¢103d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?4.4¢43d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?4.5¢63d ago
BuyYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?11.7¢84d ago
SellYesTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?11.7¢84d ago
BuyNoTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?94.2¢3524d ago

Holders

Yes+$65 total · +$6 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Trained-Sniffle+$701,155Essential-Diarist+$17172Yummy-Winter-$4113Nutritious-Blame-$13100Evil-Row-$080Rectangular-Polish-$166Shimmering-Corruption-$554Square-Itinerary+$245Arctic-Kickoff+$340Bouncy-Saving-$340
No+$209 total · +$21 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Starchy-Drudgery+$147889Sunny-Caramel-$21446Critical-Percentage+$94221Brown-Tragedy+$1164Sweet-Writer-$9135Direct-Chainstay+$154Small-Pompom-$0360x9afc…314b-$2280x812b…bbcf-$122Immaculate-President-$013
PriceSizeTotal
62.5¢187117
69.2¢247171
74.0¢192142
74.8¢302226
80.0¢650520
82.1¢291239
94.9¢109
95.0¢1010
95.9¢1,9411,862
99.0¢55
99.8¢8282
99.9¢284284
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢6,9897
0.2¢670
1.0¢7558
1.1¢120
2.0¢1964
2.2¢2145
2.3¢1133
3.0¢502
3.1¢451
3.2¢120
5.1¢10