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Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?
W

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes1.1%
No98.9%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 1, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Sourcehttps://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data
Category
FinancechatgptOpenAIOpenAI IPO

Highlights

Volume
$4.8K
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$1.9K
Ends
Aug 1, 2026

Price history

1.1¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?96.7¢516h ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?96.7¢516h ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?98.6¢116h ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?1.4¢116h ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢1,20916h ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢25216h ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢95716h ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.5¢21116h ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢10616h ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.6¢10016h ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?1.0¢516h ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.1¢554d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.9¢504d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?1.0¢54d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?98.9¢54d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?1.1¢54d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢1185d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢455d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢255d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢485d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢68d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢68d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.3¢212d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.7¢212d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.2¢4312d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢4312d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢220d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢220d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.7¢4321d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.3¢4321d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.2¢2024d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.8¢2024d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.6¢126d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?0.6¢126d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?99.0¢126d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?1.0¢126d ago
BuyNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?98.0¢1,02826d ago
BuyYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?2.0¢10026d ago
SellNoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?98.0¢92826d ago
SellYesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?2.2¢10626d ago

Holders

Yes-$17 total · -$2 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Evil-Row-$2406Pleasing-Elm+$0209Warlike-Mound-$4202Snappy-Rooster-$61650xee67…67a6-$1106Genuine-Tribe+$099Direct-Chainstay-$3910x5533…51ba-$186Venerated-Worm+$050Stable-Patch-$145
No-$13 total · -$3 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Precious-Wont-$121,420Gullible-Grassland-$055Arctic-Kickoff-$043Curly-Bat-$06Colorful-Lambkin+$02
PriceSizeTotal
6.0¢44827
25.0¢205
48.0¢16981
53.0¢994527
53.6¢11361
67.0¢269180
68.9¢203140
70.0¢296207
74.0¢54
99.0¢1010
99.7¢10,0009,970
99.9¢115115
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢1510