BrierBrier
HotInsightsWatchlistNotes
Lists
Modeled
Closing soon
This week
Near-certain
Your lists
Trending
SportsGamesSoccerEsportsTennisMLBbaseballcounter strike 2league of legendsValorantMLSDota 2CryptoFIFA World CupCrypto PricesBrazil Serie ALiga MXPoliticsCricketWeeklyUFCBitcoinK-leagueNorway EliteserienGeopoliticsWNBAUCLMulti StrikesUELSweden Allsvenskan
Unlock gated features

Connect a wallet on Robinhood Chain to unlock gated features.

Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
W

Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?

Outcomes

Yes18.8%
No81.2%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsJul 31, 2026
ResolverUMA0x69c4…5f24
Source—
Category
TechBig TechAnthropicoutage

Highlights

Volume
$10.8K
24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Ends
Jul 31, 2026

Price history

18.8¢

About

This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
SellNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.7¢1281h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.7¢181h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.7¢201h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.7¢901h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?19.3¢52h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.7¢52h ago
SellNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?81.5¢12h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?81.5¢12h ago
SellNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?81.6¢512h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?81.6¢12h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?81.6¢202h ago
SellYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?18.4¢302h ago
SellYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?16.5¢402h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?16.5¢32h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?16.5¢302h ago
SellNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.3¢72h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?21.7¢1392h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?78.2¢92h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?78.3¢502h ago
SellYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?21.7¢812h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?21.8¢173h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?78.1¢73h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?78.2¢103h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?19.1¢473h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?80.9¢473h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?17.5¢3433h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?82.5¢433h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?82.5¢3003h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?16.9¢303h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.1¢103h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.1¢203h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?17.2¢303h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?82.8¢303h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?17.3¢93h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?82.7¢93h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?17.0¢703h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.0¢683h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.2¢23h ago
BuyYesWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?16.8¢183h ago
BuyNoWill Claude go down 12+ times in July?83.2¢183h ago

Holders

Yes+$214 total · +$21 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Tall-Midden+$231,151Sore-Pitching+$796880x9687…1b7c+$55604Homely-Mattress-$43500Attractive-Stamina+$13340Unripe-Exhaustion+$38287Evil-Row+$39282Automatic-Cappuccino-$9259Fake-Cassock+$12145Blind-Leaf+$8124
No+$2.1K total · +$206 avg
Trader · P&LShares
0xa5ef…2966+$2.1K2,587Known-Use-$20790Previous-Seafood-$30453Hideous-Racer-$12400Gleaming-Handlebar+$0194Attentive-Crewman-$1174Proud-Homework-$9161False-Extreme+$19146Belated-Glue+$1792Infatuated-Nun-$168
PriceSizeTotal
89.9¢1210
90.0¢300270
94.0¢600564
95.0¢1010
96.9¢808783
97.0¢2,6672,587
99.0¢55
99.5¢3130
99.6¢3,6003,586
99.7¢12,00011,964
99.8¢88
99.9¢225224
Spread 99.8¢Mid 50.0¢
0.1¢4180
0.2¢2120
0.3¢990
1.0¢50
3.0¢2,66680
10.0¢212
11.4¢566
11.6¢10012
11.9¢10012
12.0¢10012
12.2¢10012
12.5¢10013