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Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?
W

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?

Outcomes

Yes18.0%
No82.0%

Market details

Outcomes2
EndsAug 1, 2026
ResolverUMA0x6507…f2A7
Sourcehttps://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953/data
Category
PrivatesByteDanceFinance

Highlights

Volume
$4.7K
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$187
Ends
Aug 1, 2026

Price history

18.0¢

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ByteDance's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Recent trades

SideTraderPriceSharesTime
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?95.1¢841d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?4.0¢281d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?5.0¢401d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?6.0¢171d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?91.0¢672d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?8.0¢32d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?9.0¢342d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?9.0¢302d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?90.0¢402d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?10.0¢402d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?84.0¢605d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?84.0¢605d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?80.0¢366d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?80.0¢366d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?24.0¢136d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?76.0¢136d ago
SellYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?6.0¢506d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?6.0¢506d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?76.0¢1696d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?24.0¢506d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?24.0¢506d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?24.0¢506d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?76.0¢196d ago
SellYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?24.0¢77d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?76.0¢77d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?57.0¢259d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?57.0¢259d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?70.1¢369d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?71.0¢259d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?68.0¢119d ago
SellNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?71.0¢2009d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?71.0¢509d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?71.0¢1009d ago
SellYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?29.0¢509d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?30.0¢39d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?70.0¢39d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?30.0¢39d ago
SellYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?30.0¢39d ago
BuyYesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?30.0¢509d ago
BuyNoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?70.0¢399d ago

Holders

Yes-$300 total · -$30 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Huge-Brain-$90143Direct-Chainstay-$86139Haunting-Rubric-$81135Bouncy-Saving+$880Evil-Row-$3875Belated-Glue+$771Bouncy-Concert-$350Infatuated-Nun-$350Snappy-Rooster-$1631Rowdy-Tenement+$330
No+$187 total · +$19 avg
Trader · P&LShares
Useful-Credit+$160336Superficial-Essay-$9107Quarterly-Locker+$11103Teeming-Puppet+$287Original-Knee+$585Demanding-City-$1184Punctual-Haversack+$136Friendly-Legislation+$1124Insubstantial-Coffee+$167Arid-Fly+$22
PriceSizeTotal
33.0¢3010
57.0¢8046
58.0¢3118
70.0¢175122
80.0¢315252
98.0¢55
99.0¢3939
Spread 98.0¢Mid 50.0¢
1.0¢100
3.0¢1073